论文标题

具有样本量适应的柔性无缝2合2设计

Flexible Seamless 2-in-1 Design with Sample Size Adaptation

论文作者

Li, Runjia, Wu, Liwen, Liu, Rachael, Lin, Jianchang

论文摘要

2合1设计(Chen等人,2018年)在肿瘤药物开发中变得越来越流行,具有在不同决策时使用不同端点的灵活性。根据观察到的临时数据,发起人选择要么无缝将一项小型2期试验推向了具有预定的最大样本量的全尺度确认性3期试验,或者保留在2期试验中。这种方法可能会提高药物开发的效率,但刚性僵硬,需要预先指定的固定样本量。在本文中,我们提出了具有样本量适应性的灵活的2合1设计,而保留了允许中间端点进行临时决策的优势。拟议的设计反映了最近FDA项目Frontrunner计划的需求,以鼓励使用较早的替代端点,从而潜在地支持加速批准,并通过同一随机研究的长期端点转换为标准批准。此外,我们确定临时决策截止,以允许在最终分析中进行常规的测试程序。广泛的仿真研究表明,所提出的设计所需的样本量和时间表要小得多,而简单的2合1设计则需要实现相似的功率。多发性骨髓瘤的案例研究用于证明拟议设计的好处。

2-in-1 design (Chen et al. 2018) is becoming popular in oncology drug development, with the flexibility of using different endpoints at different decision time. Based on the observed interim data, sponsors choose either to seamlessly advance a small phase 2 trial to a full-scale confirmatory phase 3 trial with a pre-determined maximum sample size, or to remain in a phase 2 trial. This approach may increase efficiency in drug development but is rigid and requires a pre-specified fixed sample size. In this paper, we propose a flexible 2-in-1 design with sample size adaptation, while retains the advantage of allowing intermediate endpoint for interim decision. The proposed design reflects the needs of recent FDA's Project FrontRunner initiative to encourage using an earlier surrogate endpoint to potentially support accelerated approval with conversion to standard approval with long term endpoint from the same randomized study. Additionally, we identify the interim decision cut-off to allow conventional test procedure at the final analysis. Extensive simulation studies showed the proposed design require much smaller sample size and shorter timeline than the simple 2-in-1 design, while achieving similar power. A case study in multiple myeloma is used to demonstrate the benefits of the proposed design.

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