论文标题

低碳电力投资的市场机制:游戏理论分析

Market Mechanisms for Low-Carbon Electricity Investments: A Game-Theoretical Analysis

论文作者

Zhao, Dongwei, Coyle, Sarah, Sakti, Apurba, Botterud, Audun

论文摘要

电力市场正在从传统能源(CERS)(例如化石燃料)转变为低碳能源(LERS),例如可再生能源和储能。这项工作研究了市场机制,以激励LER投资,同时确保投资者的足够市场收入,指导投资者对社会最佳的战略投资,并保护消费者免受稀缺价格。为了降低过度稀缺价格的影响,我们提出了一种新的市场机制,该机制包括负载损失,供应激励措施和能源价格上涨(PIU)的罚款。我们建立了一个游戏理论框架来分析市场均衡。我们证明,在罚款支付和供应激励措施下,一个NASH平衡可以达到CERS的二次供应成本的社会最佳。尽管价格上涨可以确保足够的收入,但随着差距越来越多的退休,所得的系统成本偏离了社会最佳的最佳效果。此外,在传统的边际价格定价(MCP)机制下,投资者可能会扣留投资以造成稀缺价格,但PIU机制不存在这种行为。仿真结果表明,与MCP机制相比,PIU机制可以通过从稀缺价格中降低低成本CER的过量收入来降低消费者的成本超过30%。

Electricity markets are transforming from the dominance of conventional energy resources (CERs), e.g., fossil fuels, to low-carbon energy resources (LERs), e.g., renewables and energy storage. This work examines market mechanisms to incentivize LER investments, while ensuring adequate market revenues for investors, guiding investors' strategic investments towards social optimum, and protecting consumers from scarcity prices. To reduce the impact of excessive scarcity prices, we present a new market mechanism, which consists of a Penalty payment for lost load, a supply Incentive, and an energy price Uplift (PIU). We establish a game-theoretical framework to analyze market equilibrium. We prove that one Nash equilibrium under the penalty payment and supply incentive can reach the social optimum given quadratic supply costs of CERs. Although the price uplift can ensure adequate revenues, the resulting system cost deviates from the social optimum while the gap decreases as more CERs retire. Furthermore, under the traditional marginal-cost pricing (MCP) mechanism, investors may withhold investments to cause scarcity prices, but such behavior is absent under the PIU mechanism. Simulation results show that the PIU mechanism can reduce consumers' costs by over 30% compared with the MCP mechanism by reducing excessive revenues of low-cost CERs from scarcity prices.

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