论文标题

响应能源危机的发电的需求侧政策:意大利的模型分析

Demand-side policies for power generation in response to the energy crisis: a model analysis for Italy

论文作者

Di Bella, Alice, Tavoni, Massimo

论文摘要

为了减轻能源循环的影响,欧盟提出了各种措施。对于电力部门,指令规定了高峰时段10%的需求的5%,加上自愿10%的总需求减少。在这里,我们使用电力系统模型来量化该政策对意大利电力部门的含义,因为它在今天以及满足Fit-55的气候目标所需的转型之下。我们发现,政策制定者需要在一天中间和下午淡入下午的时间中激励电力消耗。我们还强调了在不确定的汽油价格的情况下,我们强调了脱碳策略的好处:对于或高于50欧元/MWH的天然气价格,通过天然气发电的发电量降低了三分之一以上,接近符合55号合身费用所需的东西。最后,我们量化了需求侧管理策略的价值,以遏制化石资源消耗并减少可续签的情况下的电力减少。

In order to mitigate the impacts of the energy crise, the European Union has proposed various measures. For the power sector a directive prescribes a shift of 5% of the demand in 10% of the peak hours, plus a voluntary 10% overall demand reduction. Here we use a power system model to quantify the implications of this policy for the Italian power sector, as it stands today and under the transformation required to meet the climate goals of the Fit-for-55. We find that policymakers would need to incentivize electricity consumption in the middle of the day while discouraging it in the early morning and late afternoon. We also highlight the benefits of the decarbonization strategy in the context of uncertain gas prices: for a gas price at or above 50 euro/MWh, power generation through gas is reduced by more than one third, approaching what needed to comply with the Fit-for-55. Finally, we quantify the value of demand side management strategies to curb fossil resource consumption and to reduce curtailed electricity under a high renewable scenario.

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