论文标题
熵率作为报纸和信息扩散的预测方法
Entropy-rate as prediction method for newspapers and information diffusion
论文作者
论文摘要
本文旨在展示如何使用社交网络上的一些流行主题来预测与主题有关的在线报纸观点。报纸网站和许多社交网络成为分析和解释复杂现象的良好数据来源。了解一个主题的熵,可以帮助所有需要共享政府,机构,报纸或公司等信息的组织,期望其渠道的活动更高,在某些情况下可以预测接收者对发件人的期望或沟通有什么问题。对于某些组织,领导人,公司和许多其他组织的组织来说,声誉和交流(对于其中的大多数人来说)是一个更复杂的巨大系统的关键部分。为了实现我们的目标,我们使用收集工具和信息理论来检测和分析社交网络上的趋势主题,以证明一种方法可以帮助组织,报纸预测他们在一个主题上必须做多少文章或沟通,以及在给定期间内将有多少观点,从入围式绘制比率开始。我们的工作解决了要探索哪种熵率的问题,以及在社交网络然后在报纸上预计的动态,适当的信息扩散性能。我们已经确定了一些与上下文相关联的跨剪切动态,可能会解释人们如何讨论一个主题,可以继续进行争论并告知报纸网站。
This paper aims to show how some popular topics on social networks can be used to predict online newspaper views, related to the topics. Newspapers site and many social networks, become a good source of data to analyse and explain complex phenomena. Understanding the entropy of a topic, could help all organizations that need to share information like government, institution, newspaper or company, to expect an higher activity over their channels, and in some cases predict what the receiver expect from the senders or what is wrong about the communication. For some organization such political party, leaders, company and many others, the reputation and the communication are (for most of them) the key part of a more and complex huge system. To reach our goal, we use gathering tools and information theory to detect and analyse trends topic on social networks, with the purpose of proved a method that helps organization, newspapers to predict how many articles or communication they will have to do on a topic, and how much flow of views they will have in a given period, starting with the entropy-article ratio. Our work address the issue to explore in which entropy-rate, and through which dynamics, a suitable information diffusion performance is expected on social network and then on newspaper. We have identified some cross-cutting dynamics that, associated with the contexts, might explain how people discuss about a topic, can move on to argue and informs on newspapers sites.