论文标题

美国医学产品调节性复杂性对创新的影响:相互依存,早期加速和随后反转的初步证据

The Impact of US Medical Product Regulatory Complexity on Innovation: Preliminary Evidence of Interdependence, Early Acceleration, and Subsequent Inversion

论文作者

Daizadeh, Iraj

论文摘要

医疗产品(药物和医疗设备)法规的复杂性会影响美国的创新吗?如果是这样,怎么样?在这里,该问题的研究如下:从1976 - 2020年开始的各种新颖的调节指标(FDA发行的指南)和创新(相应的FDA注册)用于确定相互依存,这一概念,依赖于强相关性和相互因果关系(通过可变的落叶传输转移熵和波动均可估算)。基于这种相互依存,进行了对创新的监管映射,并发现监管似乎加速了,然后才支持创新,直到2015年左右。在那个时候,出现了一个倒的U-Curve。如果从经验上证据,就已经达到了一个重要的创新调节联系。因此,利益相关者应(重新)考虑监管景观的复杂性,以增强美国医疗产品创新。研究局限性,扩展和进一步的想法完成了这项研究。

Is the complexity of medical product (medicines and medical devices) regulation impacting innovation in the US? If so, how? Here, this question is investigated as follows: Various novel proxy metrics of regulation (FDA-issued guidelines) and innovation (corresponding FDA-registrations) from 1976-2020 are used to determine interdependence, a concept relying on strong correlation and reciprocal causality (estimated via variable lag transfer entropy and wavelet coherence). Based on this interdependence, a mapping of regulation onto innovation is conducted and finds that regulation seems to accelerate then supports innovation until on or around 2015; at which time, an inverted U-curve emerged. If empirically evidentiary, an important innovation-regulation nexus in the US has been reached; and, as such, stakeholders should (re)consider the complexity of the regulatory landscape to enhance US medical product innovation. Study limitations, extensions, and further thoughts complete this investigation.

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