论文标题
图形调查张量回归:可解释的多路财务建模的领域感知框架
Graph-Regularized Tensor Regression: A Domain-Aware Framework for Interpretable Multi-Way Financial Modelling
论文作者
论文摘要
财务数据的分析本质上是一个大数据范式,因为这些数据是在许多资产,资产类别,国家和时间段上收集的。这代表了现代机器学习模型的一个挑战,因为与数据维度一起处理此类数据所需的模型参数数量。一种被称为诅咒的效果。最近,张量分解(TD)技术在降低与大维财务模型相关的计算成本的同时,在实现可比的性能的同时,显示出令人鼓舞的结果。但是,张量模型通常无法纳入基本的经济领域知识。为此,我们开发了一种新型的图形调查张量回归(GRTR)框架,在该框架中,以图形laplacian矩阵的形式将有关交叉分析关系的知识纳入了模型。然后,这被用作正规化工具,以促进模型参数中经济有意义的结构。凭借张量代数,所提出的框架被证明是完全可解释的,无论系数和尺寸而言。 GRTR模型在多道路财务预测环境中得到了验证,并与竞争模型进行了比较,并被证明可以在降低的计算成本下提高性能。提供了详细的可视化,以帮助读者对所采用的张量操作有直观的了解。
Analytics of financial data is inherently a Big Data paradigm, as such data are collected over many assets, asset classes, countries, and time periods. This represents a challenge for modern machine learning models, as the number of model parameters needed to process such data grows exponentially with the data dimensions; an effect known as the Curse-of-Dimensionality. Recently, Tensor Decomposition (TD) techniques have shown promising results in reducing the computational costs associated with large-dimensional financial models while achieving comparable performance. However, tensor models are often unable to incorporate the underlying economic domain knowledge. To this end, we develop a novel Graph-Regularized Tensor Regression (GRTR) framework, whereby knowledge about cross-asset relations is incorporated into the model in the form of a graph Laplacian matrix. This is then used as a regularization tool to promote an economically meaningful structure within the model parameters. By virtue of tensor algebra, the proposed framework is shown to be fully interpretable, both coefficient-wise and dimension-wise. The GRTR model is validated in a multi-way financial forecasting setting and compared against competing models, and is shown to achieve improved performance at reduced computational costs. Detailed visualizations are provided to help the reader gain an intuitive understanding of the employed tensor operations.