论文标题

基于NASA功率数据的统计分析,对阿曼的苏丹国的全球变暖评估,并在39年内测试NASA电源对气象测量的可靠性

Assessment of global warming in Al Buraimi, sultanate of Oman based on statistical analysis of NASA POWER data over 39 years, and testing the reliability of NASA POWER against meteorological measurements

论文作者

Marzouk, Osama A.

论文摘要

根据NASA Power的数据库报道,我们对地面及其范围的空气温度的历史数据进行了许多统计分析方法,该方法代表了全球能源的预测。分析的目的是位于阿曼苏丹国西北部的阿尔·布拉米(Al Buraimi)的布雷米大学(University of Buraimi)附近,其与阿拉伯联合酋长国(UAE)(UAE)附近。数据的形式是每天的每天价值。从1981年1月3日(最早可用的一天)到2019年12月31日(最新年终可用),分析的数据跨度跨度。统计分析方法包括:简单的线性回归,f检验:方差分析的两个样本,方差分析(ANOVA):单个因子和t检验:假设相等的方差(汇总)的两个样本。结果表明,局部2米气温的平均温度的平均值每年约为0.039°C,从1980年的估计值为27.4°C开始。尽管线性回归分析表明随着时间的推移有所下降,但回归系数并不重要。另一方面,1981年,1981年,1990年,1995年,2005年2005、2005、2010、2015、2019的差异分析表明,统计差异共有2米的空气温度及其范围。在这项工作的第二部分中,NASA功率数据在地面上方2 m处的空气温度数据,大气压,地面上方2 m处的相对湿度和每日降水量与在Al dakhiliyah统治的Manah气象场的记录传感器测量与记录的传感器测量进行了比较,在2011年,2015年,2015年,2015年,2015年,2015年,2015年,2015年,2015年,在2015年的Aman sultanate of Aman oman oman oman oman oman。

We performed a number of statistical analysis methods on the historical data for the air temperature at 2 m above the ground and its range, as reported by the database of NASA known as POWER, which stands for Prediction Of Worldwide Energy Resources. The point of analysis is the University of Buraimi, located in Al Buraimi Governate, in the Northwest of the Sultanate of Oman, near its border with United Arab Emirates (UAE). The data is in the form of a value per day, for every day in the year. The data analyzed span the period from January 3rd, 1981 (earliest day available) to December 31st, 2019 (latest end-of-year available). The statistical analysis methods include: simple linear regression, F-test: two-sample for variances, analysis of variance (ANOVA): single factor, and t-test: two-sample assuming equal variances (pooled). The results show that the mean of the local 2-meter air temperature is increasing at a rate of about 0.039 °C per year, starting from an estimated value of 27.4 °C in 1980. For the standard deviation of the 2-meter air temperature, and the mean and standard deviation of its range; although a linear regression analysis suggests a decline over time, the regression coefficient is not significant. On the other hand, the analysis of variance for the 9 years 1981, 1985, 1990, 1995, 2000, 2005, 2010, 2015, 2019 suggests existence of statistical difference among them collectively, for the 2-meter air temperature and its range. In the second part of this work, NASA POWER data for the air temperature at 2 m above the ground, the atmospheric pressure, the relative humidity at 2 m above the ground, and the daily precipitation were compared with recorded sensor measurements at Manah meteorological station, located in Al Dakhiliyah Governate, in the Northeast of the Sultanate of Oman over all days of years 2011, 2012, 2015, and 2016.

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