论文标题
部分可观测时空混沌系统的无模型预测
Stochastic Mirror Descent in Average Ensemble Models
论文作者
论文摘要
储层计算是预测湍流的有力工具，其简单的架构具有处理大型系统的计算效率。然而，其实现通常需要完整的状态向量测量和系统非线性知识。我们使用非线性投影函数将系统测量扩展到高维空间，然后将其输入到储层中以获得预测。我们展示了这种储层计算网络在时空混沌系统上的应用，该系统模拟了湍流的若干特征。我们表明，使用径向基函数作为非线性投影器，即使只有部分观测并且不知道控制方程，也能稳健地捕捉复杂的系统非线性。最后，我们表明，当测量稀疏、不完整且带有噪声，甚至控制方程变得不准确时，我们的网络仍然可以产生相当准确的预测，从而为实际湍流系统的无模型预测铺平了道路。
The stochastic mirror descent (SMD) algorithm is a general class of training algorithms, which includes the celebrated stochastic gradient descent (SGD), as a special case. It utilizes a mirror potential to influence the implicit bias of the training algorithm. In this paper we explore the performance of the SMD iterates on mean-field ensemble models. Our results generalize earlier ones obtained for SGD on such models. The evolution of the distribution of parameters is mapped to a continuous time process in the space of probability distributions. Our main result gives a nonlinear partial differential equation to which the continuous time process converges in the asymptotic regime of large networks. The impact of the mirror potential appears through a multiplicative term that is equal to the inverse of its Hessian and which can be interpreted as defining a gradient flow over an appropriately defined Riemannian manifold. We provide numerical simulations which allow us to study and characterize the effect of the mirror potential on the performance of networks trained with SMD for some binary classification problems.
