论文标题
揭示Covid-19疫苗接种后的时空出租车需求模式
Revealing Spatial-temporal Taxi Demand Patterns after Vaccination in COVID-19 Pandemic
论文作者
论文摘要
COVID-19-大流行对我们的日常生活产生了前所未有的影响。随着疫苗接种率的增加,正常情况逐渐返回,出租车需求也是如此。然而,空间上的出租车需求模式的变化以及影响COVID-19疫苗接种后这种需求恢复的因素尚不清楚。通过来自芝加哥的多源时间序列数据,包括大流行严重性,疫苗接种进度和出租车旅行量,分析了出租车需求的恢复模式。结果表明,在服用Covid-19疫苗后,芝加哥市的大多数社区地区的出租车旅行量和平均旅行距离增加。出租车需求在中部市中心附近的机场和地区的恢复速度要比芝加哥其他地区的恢复速度要快。考虑到数据的异步,Pearson系数和动态时间扭曲(DTW)均应用于研究不同时间序列之间的相关性。它发现,出租车需求的恢复不仅与大流行严重程度有关,而且与疫苗接种进度密切相关。然后,通过滞后互相关方法研究了疫苗接种进度与出租车需求之间的主要和滞后关系。出租车的需求在开始疫苗接种期开始和二剂疫苗接种期之前就开始恢复。但是,直到4月中旬,出租车需求的回收率才超过疫苗接种率的增长。
The COVID-19 pandemic has had an unprecedented impact on our daily lives. With the increase in vaccination rate, normalcy gradually returns, so is the taxi demand. However, the changes in the spatial-temporal taxi demand pattern and factors impacting the recovery of this demand after COVID-19 vaccination started remain unclear. With the multisource time-series data from Chicago, including pandemic severity, vaccination progress and taxi trip volume, the recovery pattern of taxi demand is analyzed. The result reveals the taxi trip volume and average travel distance increased in most community areas in the city of Chicago after taking the COVID-19 vaccine. Taxi demand recovers relatively faster in the airport and area near the central downtown than in other areas in Chicago. Considering the asynchrony of data, the Pearson coefficient and Dynamic Time Warping (DTW) are both applied to investigate the correlations among different time series. It found that the recovery of taxi demand is not only related to the pandemic severity but strongly correlated with vaccination progress. Then, the leading and lagging relationship between vaccination progress and taxi demand is investigated by Time Lagging Cross-Correlation method. Taxi demand starts to recover after the first-dose vaccination period started and before the second-dose vaccination period. However, it was not until mid-April that the recovery rate of taxi demand exceeded the growth of the vaccination rate.