论文标题
关于减少栖息地在随机模型的相偏移中的作用
On the role of reduced habitat in the phase transition of a stochastic model for seed dispersal
论文作者
论文摘要
栖息地丧失是当今植物物种面临的最大威胁之一。我们制定了一个简单的种子分散数学模型,以简化的栖息地讨论该物种与栖息地大小和种子生产率有关的生存。种子通过几个代理以随机的方式分散在母植物周围。在我们的模型种子中,登录站点是根据均匀的泊松点进程分配的,$ \ mathbb {r} $持续率。我们将假设每种种子都会成功发芽并成长为具有与母植物相同特征的新植物。该时间是离散的,是根据几代植物缩放的,或者可以代表年的时间,因为每年的植物在一年内经历了整个生长周期。然后,我们将假设与起源有两个对称障碍,并认为生长无法发展到障碍物上。施加障碍对应于栖息地的物理局限性。我们呼吁概率理论工具正式化和研究这种模型,可以将其视为带有障碍的离散时间一维分支随机步行。通过耦合技术以及与适当构建的多类分支过程的比较,我们将其定位的过程临界参数围绕,其生存具有正概率或灭绝,几乎可以肯定。此外,我们考虑了该模型的离散空间版本,还为其获得了确切的结果。
Habitat loss is one of the biggest threats facing plant species nowadays. We formulate a simple mathematical model of seed dispersal on reduced habitats to discuss survival of the species in relation to the habitat size and seeds production rate. Seeds get dispersed around the mother plant via several agents in a random way. In our model seeds landing sites are distributed according to a homogeneous Poisson point process with a constant rate on $\mathbb{R}$. We will assume that each seed will successfully germinate and grow into a new plant with the same characteristics as the mother plant. The time is discrete, scaled according to generations of plants or can represent years, since annual plants go through an entire growing cycle during one year. Then we will assume there are two symmetric barriers with respect to the origin and consider that the growth can not evolve past the barriers. Imposing barriers correspond to the physical limitation of the habitat. We appeal to tools of Probability Theory to formalize and study such a model, which can be seen as a discrete-time one-dimensional branching random walk with barriers. By means of coupling techniques and the comparison with suitably constructed multi-type branching processes we localize the critical parameter of the process around which there is survival with positive probability or extinction almost surely. In addition, we consider a discrete-space version of the model for which exact results are also obtained.