论文标题

通过线性回归对托儿中心的人口估计

Population estimation for child care centers through linear regressions

论文作者

Mendoza, William, Navas-López, Eduardo Adam

论文摘要

本文是针对估计社会风险儿童和青少年的一些护理中心未来人口的替代解决方案。由于各种社会,经济和政治因素,这些中心的人口每月都会波动,因此无法准确计算出有多少儿童进入以及有多少儿童离开。为了进行估计,开发了一个数学模型,以根据线性回归来估算下一个月的中心人口,并在电子表格中实施以促进其使用。

This article arises as an alternative solution to the problem of estimating the future population of some care centers for children and adolescents at social risk. The population of these centers fluctuates from month to month due to various social, economic and political factors, so there is no way to calculate exactly how many children will enter and how many will leave. To make the estimate, a mathematical model was developed to estimate the population of the centers in the following month based on linear regressions and it was implemented in a spreadsheet to facilitate its use.

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