论文标题

部分可观测时空混沌系统的无模型预测

Search for gamma-ray emission from a galactic supernova with the anticoincidence system of SPI

论文作者

Caixach, Mariona, Jean, Pierre, Isern, Jordi, Bravo, Eduardo

论文摘要

储层计算是预测湍流的有力工具,其简单的架构具有处理大型系统的计算效率。然而,其实现通常需要完整的状态向量测量和系统非线性知识。我们使用非线性投影函数将系统测量扩展到高维空间,然后将其输入到储层中以获得预测。我们展示了这种储层计算网络在时空混沌系统上的应用,该系统模拟了湍流的若干特征。我们表明,使用径向基函数作为非线性投影器,即使只有部分观测并且不知道控制方程,也能稳健地捕捉复杂的系统非线性。最后,我们表明,当测量稀疏、不完整且带有噪声,甚至控制方程变得不准确时,我们的网络仍然可以产生相当准确的预测,从而为实际湍流系统的无模型预测铺平了道路。

The detection of the very early gamma-emission of a Type Ia supernova (SNIa) could provide a deep insight on the explosion mechanism and nature of the progenitor. However this has not been yet possible as a consequence of the expected low luminosity and the distance at which all the events have occurred up to now. A SNIa occurring in our Galaxy could provide a unique opportunity to perform such measurement. The problem is that the optical flux would probably be so attenuated by interstellar extinction that would prevent triggering the observations with gamma-spectrometers at the due time. In this paper we analyse the possibility of using the anticoincidence system (ACS) of the spectrometer SPI on board of the INTEGRAL space observatory for detecting the early gamma-ray emission of a SNIa as a function of the explosion model and distance as well as of pointing direction. Our results suggest that such detection is possible at about 6 - 12 days after the explosion and, at the same time, we can discard missing any hidden explosion during the lifetime of INTEGRAL.

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