论文标题

标准拍卖模型的估计

Estimation of Standard Auction Models

论文作者

Cherapanamjeri, Yeshwanth, Daskalakis, Constantinos, Ilyas, Andrew, Zampetakis, Manolis

论文摘要

我们为独立(非对称)私有价值和部分可观察性提供有效的估计方法,用于一票和第二价格拍卖。给定一组有限的观测值,每个观察值包括获胜者的身份及其以一系列相同的拍卖的价格支付的价格,我们为非参数估算每个投标者的投标分布以及其在平衡假设下的价值分布提供了算法。我们提供有限样本估计范围,这些估计范围是均匀的,因为它们的错误率不取决于要估计的出价/价值分布。我们的估计保证可以推进计量经济学中的一项工作,除非可以观察到对称,参数或所有投标,否则仅获得了识别结果。我们的保证还提供了可靠性理论的经典技术的计算和统计有效替代方案。最后,我们的结果立即适用于荷兰和英语拍卖。

We provide efficient estimation methods for first- and second-price auctions under independent (asymmetric) private values and partial observability. Given a finite set of observations, each comprising the identity of the winner and the price they paid in a sequence of identical auctions, we provide algorithms for non-parametrically estimating the bid distribution of each bidder, as well as their value distributions under equilibrium assumptions. We provide finite-sample estimation bounds which are uniform in that their error rates do not depend on the bid/value distributions being estimated. Our estimation guarantees advance a body of work in Econometrics wherein only identification results have been obtained, unless the setting is symmetric, parametric, or all bids are observable. Our guarantees also provide computationally and statistically effective alternatives to classical techniques from reliability theory. Finally, our results are immediately applicable to Dutch and English auctions.

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