论文标题

元转移学习在MOOC中进行早期成功预测

Meta Transfer Learning for Early Success Prediction in MOOCs

论文作者

Swamy, Vinitra, Marras, Mirko, Käser, Tanja

论文摘要

尽管大规模开放的在线课程(MOOC)的普及越来越高,但许多人的辍学率和成功率低。因此,早期预测学生对有针对性干预的成功对于确保在课程中没有留下的学生至关重要。对于MOOC的成功预测,存在着大量的研究,主要关注从头开始的培训模型。这种设置在早期成功预测中是不切实际的,因为学生的表现仅在课程结束时才知道。在本文中,我们旨在创建可以从不同领域和主题之间传输的早期成功预测模型。为此,我们提出了三种新颖的转移策略:1)预训练大量各种课程的模型,2)通过包括有关课程的元信息来利用预培训的模型,以及3)对先前课程迭代进行微调模型。我们在26个MOOC上进行的实验,其中超过145,000个组合入学率和数百万互动表明,相比,结合互动数据和课程信息的模型比可以访问课程以前的迭代的模型具有可比性或更好的性能。借助这些模型,我们旨在有效地使教育者对新课程和正在进行的课程进行预测。

Despite the increasing popularity of massive open online courses (MOOCs), many suffer from high dropout and low success rates. Early prediction of student success for targeted intervention is therefore essential to ensure no student is left behind in a course. There exists a large body of research in success prediction for MOOCs, focusing mainly on training models from scratch for individual courses. This setting is impractical in early success prediction as the performance of a student is only known at the end of the course. In this paper, we aim to create early success prediction models that can be transferred between MOOCs from different domains and topics. To do so, we present three novel strategies for transfer: 1) pre-training a model on a large set of diverse courses, 2) leveraging the pre-trained model by including meta information about courses, and 3) fine-tuning the model on previous course iterations. Our experiments on 26 MOOCs with over 145,000 combined enrollments and millions of interactions show that models combining interaction data and course information have comparable or better performance than models which have access to previous iterations of the course. With these models, we aim to effectively enable educators to warm-start their predictions for new and ongoing courses.

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