论文标题
连续可居住的区域：使用贝叶斯方法优先考虑潜在可居住世界的表征
Continuous Habitable Zones: Using Bayesian Methods to Prioritize Characterization of Potentially Habitable Worlds
论文作者
论文摘要
潜在的居住行星数量不断增加，但我们缺乏表征所有这些行星的时间和资源。凭借$ \ sim 30 $ 30已知的潜在可居住的行星以及不断增长的候选行星和已确认的行星，需要优先考虑这些行星表征的强大统计框架。使用$ \ sim $ 2 Gy，它在地球上寿命可以作为基准对大气产生可检测的影响，我们使用贝叶斯统计方法来确定恒星周围给定半径均在2 Gy上不断宜居的可能性。我们对9个潜在可居住的系外行星进行了这项分析，带有行星半径$ <$ <$ <$ _ \ oplus $和/或行星质量$ <$ 10 m $ _ $ _ \ oplus $在9个低质量的宿主星（$ \ sim $ 0.5-1.1 m $ _ $ $ _ \ odot $）上，带有测量的stellar assellar assellar and Mars and assallicity，以及MARSASELLICETY，以及MARSALSICELUS，以及MARSALSICELUS，以及MARSALSICELUS，以及MARSALSICELUS。宿主星的年龄是通过分析产生的。该技术还用于在苔丝连续观看区域提供2768个低质量星（0.5-1.3 m $ _ \ odot $）的年龄估计。
The number of potentially habitable planets continues to increase, but we lack the time and resources to characterize all of them. With $\sim$30 known potentially habitable planets and an ever-growing number of candidate and confirmed planets, a robust statistical framework for prioritizing characterization of these planets is desirable. Using the $\sim$2 Gy it took life on Earth to make a detectable impact on the atmosphere as a benchmark, we use a Bayesian statistical method to determine the probability that a given radius around a star has been continuously habitable for 2 Gy. We perform this analysis on 9 potentially habitable exoplanets with planetary radii $<$1.8 R$_\oplus$ and/or planetary masses $<$10 M$_\oplus$ around 9 low-mass host stars ($\sim$0.5-1.1 M$_\odot$) with measured stellar mass and metallicity, as well as Venus, Earth, and Mars. Ages for the host stars are generated by the analysis. The technique is also used to provide age estimates for 2768 low-mass stars (0.5-1.3 M$_\odot$) in the TESS Continuous Viewing Zones.
