论文标题
高斯随机字段的近似参考
Approximate Reference Prior for Gaussian Random Fields
论文作者
论文摘要
理论上,参考先验在分析地统计数据上具有吸引力,因为它们可以自动贝叶斯分析并具有理想的贝叶斯和频繁的特性。但是,它们的使用受到计算障碍的阻碍,这些障碍使他们的应用在实践中具有挑战性。在这项工作中,我们得出了一类新的默认先验,该先验近似于某些高斯随机字段的参数。它基于与从固定随机场的光谱近似得出的协方差参数的综合可能性的近似值。此先验取决于在与辅助常规网格相关的一组光谱点上评估的模型的平均函数结构和光谱密度。除了保留所需的贝叶斯和频繁的特性外,这些近似参考先验更稳定,它们的计算比确切的参考先验的繁重得多。与精确的参考先验不同,相关参数的边际近似参考始终是正确的,无论相关函数的平均函数或平滑度如何。该属性对协方差模型的选择有重要影响。比较默认贝叶斯分析的插图与西班牙加利西亚的铅污染的数据集提供。
Reference priors are theoretically attractive for the analysis of geostatistical data since they enable automatic Bayesian analysis and have desirable Bayesian and frequentist properties. But their use is hindered by computational hurdles that make their application in practice challenging. In this work, we derive a new class of default priors that approximate reference priors for the parameters of some Gaussian random fields. It is based on an approximation to the integrated likelihood of the covariance parameters derived from the spectral approximation of stationary random fields. This prior depends on the structure of the mean function and the spectral density of the model evaluated at a set of spectral points associated with an auxiliary regular grid. In addition to preserving the desirable Bayesian and frequentist properties, these approximate reference priors are more stable, and their computations are much less onerous than those of exact reference priors. Unlike exact reference priors, the marginal approximate reference prior of correlation parameter is always proper, regardless of the mean function or the smoothness of the correlation function. This property has important consequences for covariance model selection. An illustration comparing default Bayesian analyses is provided with a data set of lead pollution in Galicia, Spain.