论文标题
基于积极学习的多阶段顺序决策模型,并应用于常见的胆管石评估
Active Learning-Based Multistage Sequential Decision-Making Model with Application on Common Bile Duct Stone Evaluation
论文作者
论文摘要
多阶顺序决策方案通常在医疗保健诊断过程中看到。在本文中,开发了一种基于积极的学习方法,以便以连续方式积极收集必要的患者数据。拟议的方法中有两个新闻。首先,与仅建模单个阶段的现有序物逻辑回归模型不同,我们估计所有阶段的参数。其次,假定在不同阶段的共同特征的系数保持一致。在模拟研究和实际案例研究中都验证了所提出方法的有效性。与基线方法单独和独立建模的基线方法相比,提出的方法提高了估计效率62 \%-1838 \%。对于模拟和测试队列,所提出的方法在参数估计上更有效,稳定,可解释和计算有效。所提出的方法可以轻松地扩展到各种情况,在各种情况下,只需使用必要的信息就可以依次完成决策。
Multistage sequential decision-making scenarios are commonly seen in the healthcare diagnosis process. In this paper, an active learning-based method is developed to actively collect only the necessary patient data in a sequential manner. There are two novelties in the proposed method. First, unlike the existing ordinal logistic regression model which only models a single stage, we estimate the parameters for all stages together. Second, it is assumed that the coefficients for common features in different stages are kept consistent. The effectiveness of the proposed method is validated in both a simulation study and a real case study. Compared with the baseline method where the data is modeled individually and independently, the proposed method improves the estimation efficiency by 62\%-1838\%. For both simulation and testing cohorts, the proposed method is more effective, stable, interpretable, and computationally efficient on parameter estimation. The proposed method can be easily extended to a variety of scenarios where decision-making can be done sequentially with only necessary information.