论文标题

风公园电源预测:基于注意的图形网络和深度学习以捕捉唤醒损失

Wind Park Power Prediction: Attention-Based Graph Networks and Deep Learning to Capture Wake Losses

论文作者

Bentsen, Lars Ødegaard, Warakagoda, Narada Dilp, Stenbro, Roy, Engelstad, Paal

论文摘要

随着风能进入电网的渗透增加,能够预测大型风电场的预期发电量变得越来越重要。深度学习(DL)模型可以在数据中学习复杂的模式,并在预测唤醒损失和预期的功率生产方面取得了广泛的成功。本文提出了一个基于注意的图形神经网络(GNN)的模块化框架,可以将注意力应用于图块的任何所需组件。结果表明,该模型的表现明显胜过多层感知器(MLP)和双向LSTM(BLSTM)模型,同时使用香草GNN模型在PAR上提供性能。此外,我们认为,提出的图形注意体系结构可以通过向要使用的所需注意操作提供灵活性来轻松适应不同的应用程序,这可能取决于特定的应用程序。通过分析注意力的权重,可以表明采用基于注意力的GNN可以提供有关模型所学知识的见解。特别是,注意力网络似乎意识到涡轮依赖性与有关尾流损失的某些物理直觉一致的涡轮依赖性。

With the increased penetration of wind energy into the power grid, it has become increasingly important to be able to predict the expected power production for larger wind farms. Deep learning (DL) models can learn complex patterns in the data and have found wide success in predicting wake losses and expected power production. This paper proposes a modular framework for attention-based graph neural networks (GNN), where attention can be applied to any desired component of a graph block. The results show that the model significantly outperforms a multilayer perceptron (MLP) and a bidirectional LSTM (BLSTM) model, while delivering performance on-par with a vanilla GNN model. Moreover, we argue that the proposed graph attention architecture can easily adapt to different applications by offering flexibility into the desired attention operations to be used, which might depend on the specific application. Through analysis of the attention weights, it was showed that employing attention-based GNNs can provide insights into what the models learn. In particular, the attention networks seemed to realise turbine dependencies that aligned with some physical intuition about wake losses.

扫码加入交流群

加入微信交流群

微信交流群二维码

扫码加入学术交流群,获取更多资源