论文标题

因果效应估计的混杂功能获取

Confounding Feature Acquisition for Causal Effect Estimation

论文作者

Wang, Shirly, Yi, Seung Eun, Joshi, Shalmali, Ghassemi, Marzyeh

论文摘要

观察数据的可靠治疗效果估计取决于所有混杂信息的可用性。尽管许多工作已经针对观察数据的治疗效应估计,但在混淆丢失的情况下,工作相对较少,其中收集有关混杂因素的更多信息通常是昂贵的或耗时的。在这项工作中,我们将这一挑战作为因果推理的混杂功能的特征的问题。我们的目标是优先考虑样品中缺失的混杂因素的固定和已知子集的获取值,从而导致有效的平均治疗效果估计。我们提出了两种基于i)协变量平衡(CB)的采集策略,ii)减少观察到的事实结果误差(OE)的统计估计误差(OE)。我们在五种常见的因果效应估计方法上比较了CB和OE,并在各种设置下证明了OE对基线方法的样本效率提高。我们还提供可视化,以进一步分析我们提出的方法之间的差异。

Reliable treatment effect estimation from observational data depends on the availability of all confounding information. While much work has targeted treatment effect estimation from observational data, there is relatively little work in the setting of confounding variable missingness, where collecting more information on confounders is often costly or time-consuming. In this work, we frame this challenge as a problem of feature acquisition of confounding features for causal inference. Our goal is to prioritize acquiring values for a fixed and known subset of missing confounders in samples that lead to efficient average treatment effect estimation. We propose two acquisition strategies based on i) covariate balancing (CB), and ii) reducing statistical estimation error on observed factual outcome error (OE). We compare CB and OE on five common causal effect estimation methods, and demonstrate improved sample efficiency of OE over baseline methods under various settings. We also provide visualizations for further analysis on the difference between our proposed methods.

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