论文标题
自动推断具有神经密度估计的二进制微透镜事件
Automating Inference of Binary Microlensing Events with Neural Density Estimation
论文作者
论文摘要
用传统采样算法(如MCMC)自动推断二进制微透镜事件已受到物理前向模型的缓慢和病理可能性表面的阻碍。当前对此类事件的分析需要专家知识和大规模的网格搜索,以定位近似解决方案作为MCMC后采样的先决条件。作为下一代,基于罗马空间天文台的基于空间的微透明调查将产生数千个二元微透镜事件,因此需要采用新的可扩展和自动化方法。在这里,我们提出了一种基于神经密度估计(NDE)的自动推理方法。我们表明,经过模拟的罗马数据训练的NDE不仅会产生快速,准确且精确的后代,而且还捕获了预期的后脱落。可以进一步应用混合NDE-MCMC框架来产生确切的后部。
Automated inference of binary microlensing events with traditional sampling-based algorithms such as MCMC has been hampered by the slowness of the physical forward model and the pathological likelihood surface. Current analysis of such events requires both expert knowledge and large-scale grid searches to locate the approximate solution as a prerequisite to MCMC posterior sampling. As the next generation, space-based microlensing survey with the Roman Space Observatory is expected to yield thousands of binary microlensing events, a new scalable and automated approach is desired. Here, we present an automated inference method based on neural density estimation (NDE). We show that the NDE trained on simulated Roman data not only produces fast, accurate, and precise posteriors but also captures expected posterior degeneracies. A hybrid NDE-MCMC framework can further be applied to produce the exact posterior.