论文标题
在线游戏中识别技能：幻想英超联赛的情况
Identification of skill in an online game: The case of Fantasy Premier League
论文作者
论文摘要
在所有基于个人表现的比赛中，结果是结果还是运气的结果。我们通过分析大约一百万参赛者参加幻想超级联赛的大型数据集（一项在线幻想运动）来探讨这个问题，这是一项在线幻想运动，经理们从英国足球（足球）联赛中选择球员。我们表明，经理在多个季节的等级是相关的，我们分析了管理人员为增加成功可能性而采取的行动。确定经理成功的主要因素是长期计划，面对这场游戏所基于的嘈杂竞赛，始终如一地决策。随着时间的推移，管理者的决定之间的相似之处也会导致“模板”团队的出现，这表明在游戏中发生了一种放牧动态形式。综上所述，这些发现表明，在延长的时间时期，成功的经理在关键决策点上的共识和共识。
In all competitions where results are based upon an individual's performance the question of whether the outcome is a consequence of skill or luck arises. We explore this question through an analysis of a large dataset of approximately one million contestants playing Fantasy Premier League, an online fantasy sport where managers choose players from the English football (soccer) league. We show that managers' ranks over multiple seasons are correlated and we analyse the actions taken by managers to increase their likelihood of success. The prime factors in determining a manager's success are found to be long-term planning and consistently good decision-making in the face of the noisy contests upon which this game is based. Similarities between managers' decisions over time that result in the emergence of 'template' teams, suggesting a form of herding dynamics taking place within the game, are also observed. Taken together, these findings indicate common strategic considerations and consensus among successful managers on crucial decision points over an extended temporal period.
