论文标题

终身财产价格预测:多伦多房地产市场的案例研究

Lifelong Property Price Prediction: A Case Study for the Toronto Real Estate Market

论文作者

Peng, Hao, Li, Jianxin, Wang, Zheng, Yang, Renyu, Liu, Mingzhe, Zhang, Mingming, Yu, Philip S., He, Lifang

论文摘要

我们提出了Luce,这是自动财产估值的第一个终生预测模型。 Luce解决了财产估值的两个关键问题:缺乏最近出售的价格和房屋数据的稀疏性。它旨在根据有限的最近房屋交易数据运行。作为偏离先前的工作,Luce将房屋数据组织在异质信息网络(HIN)中,其中图节点是房屋实体和对房价估值很重要的属性。我们采用图形卷积网络(GCN)从HIN中提取与房屋相关数据(如地理位置)的空间信息,然后使用长期的短期内存(LSTM)网络来建模房屋交易数据随时间的时间依赖性。与先前的工作不同,Luce可以在过去几个月中有效利用有限的房屋交易数据,以更新HIN内所有房屋实体的估值信息。通过提供完整的最新房屋估值数据集,Luce因此大大简化了目标属性的下游评估任务。我们通过将其应用于从多伦多房地产市场获得的大型现实生活数据集,证明了Luce的好处。广泛的实验结果表明,LUCE不仅要优于先前的财产估值方法,而且经常达到,有时会超过独立专家在使用实际实现价格作为地面真理时给出的估值准确性。

We present Luce, the first life-long predictive model for automated property valuation. Luce addresses two critical issues of property valuation: the lack of recent sold prices and the sparsity of house data. It is designed to operate on a limited volume of recent house transaction data. As a departure from prior work, Luce organizes the house data in a heterogeneous information network (HIN) where graph nodes are house entities and attributes that are important for house price valuation. We employ a Graph Convolutional Network (GCN) to extract the spatial information from the HIN for house-related data like geographical locations, and then use a Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) network to model the temporal dependencies for house transaction data over time. Unlike prior work, Luce can make effective use of the limited house transactions data in the past few months to update valuation information for all house entities within the HIN. By providing a complete and up-to-date house valuation dataset, Luce thus massively simplifies the downstream valuation task for the targeting properties. We demonstrate the benefit of Luce by applying it to large, real-life datasets obtained from the Toronto real estate market. Extensive experimental results show that Luce not only significantly outperforms prior property valuation methods but also often reaches and sometimes exceeds the valuation accuracy given by independent experts when using the actual realization price as the ground truth.

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