论文标题

在COVID-19大流行期间,Twitter上的公共风险感知和情感

Public risk perception and emotion on Twitter during the Covid-19 pandemic

论文作者

Dyer, Joel, Kolic, Blas

论文摘要

Covid-19大流行的成功导航是基于与安全措施的公共合作以及对风险的适当认识,在这种风险中,情绪和注意力在其中发挥了重要作用。社交媒体数据中存在公众情绪和注意力的签名,因此对本文的自然语言分析可实现对公共风险感知指标的接近时间监控。我们比较了大流行进展的关键流行病学指标,并表明公众对来自约2000万个独特的Covid-19与Covid-19与2020年3月10日至2020年6月14日之间的12个国家相关的大流行的认识。我们发现了心理物理的证据:在心理物理上的证据:在死亡率上越来越多地固定在衰落的情况下,但逐渐地分析了情感和越来越多地分析,并且越来越多地分析和越来越多地分析。基于单词共发生的语义网络分析揭示了与这一假设一致的Covid-19伤亡的情绪框架的变化。我们还发现,通过感官感知的Weber-Fechner和Power Law函数,对国家Covid-19死亡率的平均关注进行了准确的建模。我们对这些模型的参数估计与心理实验的估计相一致,并表明该数据集中的用户表现出国家对国家COVID-19的死亡率的敏感性不同。我们的工作说明了社交媒体在监测公共风险感知和指导危机场景期间的公共交流的潜在效用。

Successful navigation of the Covid-19 pandemic is predicated on public cooperation with safety measures and appropriate perception of risk, in which emotion and attention play important roles. Signatures of public emotion and attention are present in social media data, thus natural language analysis of this text enables near-to-real-time monitoring of indicators of public risk perception. We compare key epidemiological indicators of the progression of the pandemic with indicators of the public perception of the pandemic constructed from ~20 million unique Covid-19-related tweets from 12 countries posted between 10th March -- 14th June 2020. We find evidence of psychophysical numbing: Twitter users increasingly fixate on mortality, but in a decreasingly emotional and increasingly analytic tone. Semantic network analysis based on word co-occurrences reveals changes in the emotional framing of Covid-19 casualties that are consistent with this hypothesis. We also find that the average attention afforded to national Covid-19 mortality rates is modelled accurately with the Weber-Fechner and power law functions of sensory perception. Our parameter estimates for these models are consistent with estimates from psychological experiments, and indicate that users in this dataset exhibit differential sensitivity by country to the national Covid-19 death rates. Our work illustrates the potential utility of social media for monitoring public risk perception and guiding public communication during crisis scenarios.

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