论文标题

使用非线性自适应策略

Hepatitis C Virus Epidemic Control Using a Nonlinear Adaptive Strategy

论文作者

Khodaei-Mehr, Javad, Tangestanizadeh, Samaneh, Sharifi, Mojtaba, Vatankhah, Ramin, Eghtesad, Mohammad

论文摘要

丙型肝炎是一种病毒感染,是丙型肝炎病毒(HCV)的结果,它被认为是肝病的主要原因。在传染病流行病学中,HCV发病率正在增长。在本研究中,采用数学模型来模拟人群中HCV爆发的动态。总人口分为五个隔间,包括不知道和意识到易感性,敏锐和长期感染和经过治疗的类别。然后,首次提出了一种基于Lyapunov的非线性自适应方法,以控制HCV流行病,考虑到建模不确定性。建议提出一个积极的确定Lyapunov候选功能,并基于此实现适应和控制定律。拟议的控制策略的主要目标是通过追求适当的治疗方案来减少易感和长期感染的隔室的人群。由于上述隔室的减少,意识易感人群的人群增加,急性感染和治疗的人的人口减少了。使用Lyapunov稳定性定理和Barbalat的引理,以证明跟踪融合到所需的人口减少方案。基于获得的数值结果,提出的非线性自适应控制器可以通过调整输入(向易感人士和慢性感染者的处理率)来实现上述目标,并分别基于设计的控制和适应定律估算不确定的参数值。此外,提出的策略旨在在存在不同级别的参数不确定性的情况下具有鲁棒性。

Hepatitis C is a viral infection that appears as a result of the Hepatitis C Virus (HCV), and it has been recognized as the main reason for liver diseases. HCV incidence is growing as an important issue in the epidemiology of infectious diseases. In the present study, a mathematical model is employed for simulating the dynamics of HCV outbreak in a population. The total population is divided into five compartments, including unaware and aware susceptible, acutely and chronically infected, and treated classes. Then, a Lyapunov-based nonlinear adaptive method is proposed for the first time to control the HCV epidemic considering modelling uncertainties. A positive definite Lyapunov candidate function is suggested, and adaptation and control laws are attained based on that. The main goal of the proposed control strategy is to decrease the population of unaware susceptible and chronically infected compartments by pursuing appropriate treatment scenarios. As a consequence of this decrease in the mentioned compartments, the population of aware susceptible individuals increases and the population of acutely infected and treated humans decreases. The Lyapunov stability theorem and Barbalat's lemma are employed in order to prove the tracking convergence to desired population reduction scenarios. Based on the acquired numerical results, the proposed nonlinear adaptive controller can achieve the above-mentioned objective by adjusting the inputs (rates of informing the susceptible people and treatment of chronically infected ones) and estimating uncertain parameter values based on the designed control and adaptation laws, respectively. Moreover, the proposed strategy is designed to be robust in the presence of different levels of parametric uncertainties.

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