论文标题
美国在美国的共同旅行分析在美国
An Interstate Trips Analysis during COVID-19 in the United States
论文作者
论文摘要
Covid-19的全球爆发对公众构成了严峻的威胁。在大流行过程中,人类的流动性已经以各种方式发生变化。尽管目前对共同的移动性指标的研究,但专门针对州到州流动性的研究非常有限。通过利用来自超过1亿个匿名设备的手机位置数据,我们估计美国所有州之间的人口流量。我们首先分析了从2020年1月1日至2020年5月15日,状态周间流的时间模式和空间差异。然后,通过重复测量ANOVA和事后分析,我们辨别出大流行严重程度组的状态间种群流量流量的不同时间道路。进一步的分析表明,流量减少与大流行严重程度之间的中等至高相关性,其强度随不同的策略而变化。本文有望预测进口案例。
The worldwide outbreak of COVID-19 has posed a dire threat to the public. Human mobility has changed in various ways over the course of the pandemic. Despite current studies on common mobility metrics, research specifically on state-to-state mobility is very limited. By leveraging the mobile phone location data from over 100 million anonymous devices, we estimate the population flow between all states in the United States. We first analyze the temporal pattern and spatial differences of between-state flow from January 1, 2020 to May 15, 2020. Then, with repeated measures ANOVA and post-hoc analysis, we discern different time-course patterns of between-state population flow by pandemic severity groups. A further analysis shows moderate to high correlation between the flow reduction and the pandemic severity, the strength of which varies with different policies. This paper is promising in predicting imported cases.