论文标题

Twitter,人类流动性和Covid-19

Twitter, human mobility, and COVID-19

论文作者

Huang, Xiao, Li, Zhenlong, Jiang, Yuqin, Li, Xiaoming, Porter, Dwayne

论文摘要

Covid-19的爆发强调了需要采取更加协调的,更少的隐私,易于访问的方法来监测已被证明与病毒传播相关的人类流动性。在这项研究中,我们在全球范围内分析了5.87亿条推文,以了解全球合作努力如何从全球,国家和美国国家规模的用户生成的信息中反映出人类流动性。考虑到移动性的多方面性质,我们提出了两种类型的距离:单天距离和跨日距离。为了量化某些地理区域的响应性,我们进一步提出了一个基于移动性的响应指数(MRI),该指数(MRI)捕获了一个时间窗口内的整体移动性变化。结果表明,从Twitter数据获得的迁移率模式是可以定量反映移动性动态的。在全球范围内,拟议的两个距离在2020年3月11日之后与他们的基线大大偏离,当时谁宣布Covid-19为大流行。声明后的周期性大大少得多,表明保护措施显然影响了人们的旅行习惯。国家规模的比较揭示了反应性的差异,这是由不同流行病阶段的对比迁移率模式所证明的。我们发现,移动性变化的触发因素与国家缓解措施的公告很好。在美国,19009年大流行对流动性的影响是不同的。但是,各州之间的影响很大。黑人生命问题抗议活动进一步推动了强大的流动性恢复动力,并有可能促进美国第二波感染浪潮

The outbreak of COVID-19 highlights the need for a more harmonized, less privacy-concerning, easily accessible approach to monitoring the human mobility that has been proved to be associated with the viral transmission. In this study, we analyzed 587 million tweets worldwide to see how global collaborative efforts in reducing human mobility are reflected from the user-generated information at the global, country, and the U.S. state scale. Considering the multifaceted nature of mobility, we propose two types of distance: the single-day distance and the cross-day distance. To quantify the responsiveness in certain geographical regions, we further propose a mobility-based responsive index (MRI) that captures the overall degree of mobility changes within a time window. The results suggest that mobility patterns obtained from Twitter data are amendable to quantitatively reflect the mobility dynamics. Globally, the proposed two distances had greatly deviated from their baselines after March 11, 2020, when WHO declared COVID-19 as a pandemic. The considerably less periodicity after the declaration suggests that the protection measures have obviously affected people's travel routines. The country scale comparisons reveal the discrepancies in responsiveness, evidenced by the contrasting mobility patterns in different epidemic phases. We find that the triggers of mobility changes correspond well with the national announcements of mitigation measures. In the U.S., the influence of the COVID-19 pandemic on mobility is distinct. However, the impacts varied substantially among states. The strong mobility recovering momentum is further fueled by the Black Lives Matter protests, potentially fostering the second wave of infections in the U.S.

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