论文标题

冠状病毒Covid-19爆发的数学模型

A mathematical model for the coronavirus COVID-19 outbreak

论文作者

Cherniha, Roman, Davydovych, Vasyl'

论文摘要

提出了一种数学模型,以定量描述中国新型冠状病毒Covid-19的爆发。尽管模型相对简单,但与公共数据的比较表明,模型的精确解决方案(具有正确指定的参数)会导致结果,这与测量数据非常吻合。讨论了COVID-19案例总数的预测,并使用奥地利的测量数据进行了示例。

A mathematical model is proposed for quantitative description of the outbreak of novel coronavirus COVID-19 in China. Although the model is relatively simple, the comparison with the public data shows that an exact solution solution of the model (with the correctly-specified parameters) leads to the results, which are in good agreement with the measured data. Prediction of the total number of the COVID-19 cases is discussed and an example is presented using the measured data in Austria.

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