论文标题
集群方法评估零排放社区投资能源系统的投资评估
Clustering Methods Assessment for Investment in Zero Emission Neighborhoods Energy System
论文作者
论文摘要
本文研究了在设计零排放社区(ZEN)的能源系统的背景下使用聚类的使用。 Zens是旨在在其一生中排放净零排放的社区。虽然先前的工作已使用并研究了聚类来设计社区的能源系统,但没有文章处理诸如Zen(Zen)对太阳辐照度时间序列有很高要求的社区,其中包括一个CO2因子时间序列,并且具有零排放余额限制了可能性。为此,使用了几种方法,并将其结果进行了比较。结果一方面是聚类本身的性能,另一方面,在使用数据的优化模型中,每种方法的性能。测试了与聚类方法相关的各个方面。所研究的不同方面是:目标(聚类获得天数),算法(K-均值或K-Medoids),归一化方法(基于标准偏差或值范围)以及使用启发式的方法。结果凸显了K均值比K-Medoid提供更好的结果,并且K均值正在系统地低估客观值,而K-Medoids则不断高估了它。当可以在集群天和小时之间进行选择时,似乎聚类的日子提供了最佳的精度和解决时间。选择取决于用于优化模型的公式以及对季节性存储建模的需求。正常化方法的选择影响最小,但是值方法范围在解决时间方面显示出一些优势。当需要对太阳辐照度时间序列的良好表示时,需要更高的天数或使用小时。选择取决于可以接受的解决时间。
This paper investigates the use of clustering in the context of designing the energy system of Zero Emission Neighborhoods (ZEN). ZENs are neighborhoods who aim to have net zero emissions during their lifetime. While previous work has used and studied clustering for designing the energy system of neighborhoods, no article dealt with neighborhoods such as ZEN, which have high requirements for the solar irradiance time series, include a CO2 factor time series and have a zero emission balance limiting the possibilities. To this end several methods are used and their results compared. The results are on the one hand the performances of the clustering itself and on the other hand, the performances of each method in the optimization model where the data is used. Various aspects related to the clustering methods are tested. The different aspects studied are: the goal (clustering to obtain days or hours), the algorithm (k-means or k-medoids), the normalization method (based on the standard deviation or range of values) and the use of heuristic. The results highlight that k-means offers better results than k-medoids and that k-means was systematically underestimating the objective value while k-medoids was constantly overestimating it. When the choice between clustering days and hours is possible, it appears that clustering days offers the best precision and solving time. The choice depends on the formulation used for the optimization model and the need to model seasonal storage. The choice of the normalization method has the least impact, but the range of values method show some advantages in terms of solving time. When a good representation of the solar irradiance time series is needed, a higher number of days or using hours is necessary. The choice depends on what solving time is acceptable.