论文标题

通过多源数据了解电力损失的行为

Understanding Electricity-Theft Behavior via Multi-Source Data

论文作者

Hu, Wenjie, Yang, Yang, Wang, Jianbo, Huang, Xuanwen, Cheng, Ziqiang

论文摘要

在发展中国家,电力盗窃是涉及用户对电表进行非法操作以避免个人电费的行为的行为,这是发展中国家的常见现象。考虑到其对电网和公众的有害性,已经开发出几种机械化方法来自动识别造成的电力行为。但是,由于盗窃策略的多样性和用户行为的不规则性,这些方法主要评估用户的用电记录记录,这些方法可能不足。 在本文中,我们建议通过多源数据来识别电力损失的行为。除了用户的用电记录外,我们还通过相应变压器区域中的区域因素(非技术损失)和气候因素(温度)分析用户行为。通过进行分析实验,我们发掘了几种有趣的模式:例如,电力小偷可能比普通用户更能消耗电力得多,尤其是在极高或低温下。在这些经验观察的激励下,我们进一步设计了一个新型的等级制框架来识别电力盗贼。基于现实世界数据集的实验结果表明,与多个基线相比,我们提出的模型可以实现电力损失检测的最佳性能(例如,在F0.5方面至少 +3.0%)。最后但并非最不重要的一点是,我们的工作已由中国的州电网应用,并在每月现场调查中成功地以15%的精度在杭州捕获电力盗贼(该公司使用的其他几种模型所获得的改进表格为0%)。

Electricity theft, the behavior that involves users conducting illegal operations on electrical meters to avoid individual electricity bills, is a common phenomenon in the developing countries. Considering its harmfulness to both power grids and the public, several mechanized methods have been developed to automatically recognize electricity-theft behaviors. However, these methods, which mainly assess users' electricity usage records, can be insufficient due to the diversity of theft tactics and the irregularity of user behaviors. In this paper, we propose to recognize electricity-theft behavior via multi-source data. In addition to users' electricity usage records, we analyze user behaviors by means of regional factors (non-technical loss) and climatic factors (temperature) in the corresponding transformer area. By conducting analytical experiments, we unearth several interesting patterns: for instance, electricity thieves are likely to consume much more electrical power than normal users, especially under extremely high or low temperatures. Motivated by these empirical observations, we further design a novel hierarchical framework for identifying electricity thieves. Experimental results based on a real-world dataset demonstrate that our proposed model can achieve the best performance in electricity-theft detection (e.g., at least +3.0% in terms of F0.5) compared with several baselines. Last but not least, our work has been applied by the State Grid of China and used to successfully catch electricity thieves in Hangzhou with a precision of 15% (an improvement form 0% attained by several other models the company employed) during monthly on-site investigation.

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